Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.000088 0.000098 0.000108 0.000120 0.000132 0.000146 0.000162
2026-01-04 0.000075 0.000088 0.000103 0.000120 0.000141 0.000165 0.000195
2026-01-11 0.000065 0.000080 0.000097 0.000120 0.000148 0.000182 0.000226
2026-01-18 0.000057 0.000073 0.000092 0.000119 0.000154 0.000197 0.000257
2026-01-25 0.000050 0.000067 0.000088 0.000118 0.000159 0.000213 0.000289
2026-02-01 0.000045 0.000062 0.000085 0.000118 0.000165 0.000229 0.000323
2026-02-08 0.000040 0.000058 0.000081 0.000116 0.000168 0.000241 0.000353
2026-02-15 0.000037 0.000054 0.000078 0.000116 0.000172 0.000254 0.000386
2026-02-22 0.000034 0.000051 0.000076 0.000116 0.000177 0.000270 0.000423
2026-03-01 0.000031 0.000048 0.000073 0.000114 0.000180 0.000282 0.000455
2026-03-08 0.000029 0.000046 0.000072 0.000115 0.000186 0.000299 0.000497
2026-03-15 0.000027 0.000044 0.000071 0.000115 0.000191 0.000315 0.000537
2026-03-22 0.000025 0.000042 0.000068 0.000114 0.000194 0.000328 0.000576
2026-03-29 0.000024 0.000040 0.000068 0.000116 0.000202 0.000350 0.000632
2026-04-05 0.000023 0.000039 0.000066 0.000116 0.000207 0.000368 0.000683
2026-04-12 0.000021 0.000037 0.000064 0.000116 0.000211 0.000384 0.000730
2026-04-19 0.000020 0.000035 0.000063 0.000115 0.000215 0.000400 0.000780
2026-04-26 0.000019 0.000034 0.000062 0.000115 0.000219 0.000417 0.000835
2026-05-03 0.000017 0.000032 0.000059 0.000113 0.000220 0.000429 0.000878
2026-05-10 0.000016 0.000031 0.000058 0.000113 0.000224 0.000444 0.000930
2026-05-17 0.000016 0.000030 0.000057 0.000113 0.000228 0.000463 0.000992
2026-05-24 0.000015 0.000029 0.000055 0.000112 0.000230 0.000476 0.001043
2026-05-31 0.000014 0.000028 0.000055 0.000112 0.000236 0.000498 0.001116